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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom
25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Kamala Harris
8%
Jon Ossoff
6%
$1.2B
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio
75%
J.D. Vance
69%
Tucker Carlson
7%
Ron DeSantis
3%
$644.9M
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance
84%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Marco Rubio
14%
Kamala Harris
5%
$606.3M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

3%
97%
$45.0M
NBA MVP

NBA MVP

Victor Wembanyama
2%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2%
Nikola Jokic
0%
Jalen Brunson
0%
$93.3M
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

May 31
100%
June 30
100%
December 31
100%
April 30
99%
$75.4M
World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

Portugal
91%
Spain
84%
France
17%
England
11%
$1.3B
Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%
99%
$5.7M
2026 NBA Champion

2026 NBA Champion

San Antonio Spurs
64%
New York Knicks
37%
$54.1M
NBA Eastern Conference Champion

NBA Eastern Conference Champion

Detroit Pistons
78%
Philadelphia 76ers
6%
Charlotte Hornets
3%
Toronto Raptors
1%
$18.2M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)

>$3B
1%
>$4B
1%
>$6B
1%
>$600M
1%
$8.7M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

6%
94%
$31.2M
Saudi Professional League: Winner

Saudi Professional League: Winner

Al-Nassr
81%
Al-Hilal
40%
Al Qadsiah
2%
Al Ahli
0%
$2K
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella
81%
Iván Cepeda Castro
17%
Paloma Valencia
1%
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
1%
$32.1M
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

No change
2%
25 bps decrease
1%
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps increase
1%
$46.7M
NBA Defensive Player of the Year Winner

NBA Defensive Player of the Year Winner

Victor Wembanyama
100%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
0%
Draymond Green
0%
Ausar Thompson
0%
$4.1M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

83%
17%
$32.6M
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

100%
0%
$1.8M
2026 Men's French Open Winner

2026 Men's French Open Winner

Matteo Berrettini
94%
Felix Auger Aliassime
93%
Jakub Mensik
88%
Flavio Cobolli
87%
$31.4M
Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA
8%
Alphabet
98%
Apple
96%
Amazon
0%
$15.7M
NBA Coach of the Year Winner

NBA Coach of the Year Winner

JB Bickerstaff
97%
Joe Mazzulla
96%
Mitch Johnson
1%
Mark Daignault
0%
$2.4M
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

1%
99%
$9.1M
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
88%
Jordan Bardella
74%
Édouard Philippe
17%
Gabriel Attal
7%
$84.4M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%
94%
$33.3M
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31
37%
June 30
3%
May 31
1%
$7.1M
NHL: Western Conference Champion

NHL: Western Conference Champion

Anaheim Ducks
6%
Los Angeles Kings
100%
Colorado Avalanche
100%
Vegas Golden Knights
99%
$2.4M
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

13%
87%
$19.0M
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Graham Platner
4%
Janet Mills
3%
Troy Jackson
0%
Jared Golden
0%
$3.1M
Coupe de France: Winner

Coupe de France: Winner

Lens
73%
Strasbourg
41%
Nice
29%
Toulouse
0%
$3K
edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$400M
100%
$300M
100%
$600M
100%
$500M
100%
$15.2M
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
61%
Flávio Bolsonaro
32%
Renan Santos
16%
Fernando Haddad
5%
$89.8M
NBA Clutch Player of the Year Winner

NBA Clutch Player of the Year Winner

Anthony Edwards
2%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
99%
Jamal Murray
1%
Ja Morant
0%
$482K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

73%
27%
$3.5M
F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell
72%
Kimi Antonelli
51%
Lando Norris
4%
Charles Leclerc
4%
$161.8M
Nationals
54%
.VS
谁会赢？
46%
$8K · · Jun 4 5:05 AM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

47%
53%
$8.3M